Transport

The transport sector can be categorized based on energy demands into four segments: road, rail, water, and air. Each segment is divided into specific energy demands whose values are extrapolated based on Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP) (Riahi, 2017). These demands are satisfied by various fuels combined and assembled through so-called FuelTechs designed to represent realistic energy supply for each category. The initial shares for supply energy demands are extracted from (IEA, 2020). The following subsections detail the topology and assumptions to satisfy and decarbonize transport energy demands.

Aviation

As shown in Figure 1, the international and domestic energy demands for aviation include heavy fuel oil, diesel and jet fuels, gasoline, but according to (IEA, 2020) jet fuel make almost 100% energy input shares. Both can be decarbonized by synthetic fuels but biofuels are not considered.


Figure 1: Fuel supply for aviation in TIAM-FR

Road

The demand for transport road is split into different vehicle-based categories whose fuel and technologies differ whether it cars, trucks or 2-wheel vehicles.

Fuels

In terms of fuels, the demand for road transport can be satisfied with the fuels displayed in Figure 3

Figure 3: Fuel supply for the road transport sector in TIAM-FR

The model has the opportunity to blend gasoline with methanol by up to 15% from 2030 onwards.

Technologies

Existing technologies for buses are or powered by conventional fuels as Table 1 shows. Innovative technologies more efficient engines for the fuels already available in the base year, as well as engines that can be supplied with low-carbon fuels.

Table 1: Existing and innovative fuels and technologies for road transport

Demand sector

Existing fuels and technologies

Innovative fuels and technologies

Road bus

Biodiesel, diesel, biogasoline, gasoline, electricity, fossil gas, biogas, LPG

Ethanol, methanol, diesel, hydrogen fuel cells

Commercial trucks

Biodiesel, diesel, biogasoline, gasoline, electricity, fossil gas, biogas, LPG

Ethanol, methanol, diesel, hydrogen fuel cells

Heavy trucks

Biodiesel, biogasoline, diesel, gasoline, fossil gas, LPG

Diesel, gasoline, ethanol, methanol, gas, LPG, hydrogen fuel cells

Road medium trucks

Biodiesel, Biogasoline, diesel, gasoline, electricity, LPG, gas

Diesel, gasoline electricity, ethanol, LPG, gas

Road cars

Biodiesel, Biogasoline, diesel, gasoline, electricity, LPG, gas

Diesel, gasoline, ethanol, methanol, gas, hydrogen fuel cells, hydrogen combustion

Road light vehicle

Biodiesel, Biogasoline, diesel, gasoline, electricity, LPG, gas

Diesel, gasoline, ethanol, methanol, gas, hydrogen fuel cells, hydrogen combustion

Three wheels

Diesel, gasoline

Biodiesel, Biogasoline, methanol, diesel, gasoline

Two wheels

Biogasoline, gasoline

Biogasoline, gasoline

Rail

The energy demands for passenger trains and freight include heavy fuel oil, diesel, gasoline, coal, electricity, and LPG. Alternative fuels include biodiesel, biogasoline and additional synthetic fuels.

Figure 4: Fuel supply for rail in TIAM-FR

References
Riahi, K., van Vuuren, D.P., Kriegler, E., Edmonds, J., O’Neill, B.C., Fujimori, S., Bauer, N., Calvin, K., Dellink, R., Fricko, O., Lutz, W., Popp, A., Cuaresma, J.C., Kc, S., Leimbach, M., Jiang, L., Kram, T., Rao, S., Emmerling, J., Ebi, K., Hasegawa, T., Havlik, P., Humpenöder, F., Da Silva, L.A., Smith, S., Stehfest, E., Bosetti, V., Eom, J., Gernaat, D., Masui, T., Rogelj, J., Strefler, J., Drouet, L., Krey, V., Luderer, G., Harmsen, M., Takahashi, K., Baumstark, L., Doelman, J.C., Kainuma, M., Klimont, Z., Marangoni, G., Lotze-Campen, H., Obersteiner, M., Tabeau, A., Tavoni, M., 2017. The Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions implications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153–168. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009